Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x4292…6fa2
crypto · 2146 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$323 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$323 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$323
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1129 / 708
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1837 / 2146
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day223.9
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1837 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$334
14 days+$323
30 days+$323
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1550 +18.3% +7.1% 64% 64% +8.7%
≤30d 1837 +15.0% +4.0% 61% 61% +5.4%
≤90d 1837 +15.0% +4.0% 61% 61% +5.4%
all 1837 +15.0% +4.0% 61% 61% +5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover223.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.0% 61% +5.4%
10% ← realistic here -5.9% 60% -4.7%
15% -15.0% 56% -13.9%
20% -23.3% 49% -22.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records