Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:57:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42a4…1bcd
crypto · 1400 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses884 / 516
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1400 / 1400
History coverage69d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day35.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$12
14 days−$20
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -7.8% -16.6% 56% 48% -14.6%
≤30d 804 -1.3% -10.7% 62% 52% -8.8%
≤90d 1400 -2.5% -11.8% 63% 53% -11.3%
all 1400 -2.5% -11.8% 63% 53% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 53% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 40% -19.8%
15% -27.9% 31% -27.5%
20% -35.0% 21% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records