Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:07:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42a6…cb72
sports · 220 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,274 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,152 · open −$122
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$556
Realized−$8,152
Unrealized−$122
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses94 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$2,024
Open positions3
Markets (closed)215 / 220
History coverage120d
Avg bet$1,014
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 3 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$429
14 days−$5,552
30 days−$11,049
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $349 $338 −$11 (-3%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $233 $217 −$16 (-7%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner Paris Gentle Mates 8¢ 0¢ $95 $1 −$94 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $95 +$108 +114%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 +$35 +69%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $101 +$102 +101%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $105 +$44 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $154 −$6 -4%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $103 −$11 -11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $152 −$152 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 10 $109 +$146 +134%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 09 $158 −$158 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $205 −$205 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 09 $100 $0 -0%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 09 $101 +$51 +50%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $207 −$207 -100%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 08 $154 −$154 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $119 +$84 +70%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $272 +$183 +67%
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 07 $126 −$126 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $72 +$55 +76%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 07 $153 +$78 +51%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $153 +$107 +70%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 06 $823 +$556 +68%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Jun 05 $121 −$121 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Jun 05 $927 −$927 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 05 $5,233 −$5,233 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $524 +$300 +57%
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5) May 29 $36 −$36 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $8,370 −$8,370 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $1,075 −$1,075 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $2,029 −$2,029 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals May 28 $9,122 +$2,078 +23%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $9,988 +$502 +5%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $5,954 −$5,954 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5 May 26 $12,000 +$3,000 +25%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $10,599 +$1,442 +14%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 23 $6,047 −$350 -6%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $693 +$340 +49%
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Manchester City FC? May 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? May 19 $400 −$393 -98%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2,040 +$2,420 +119%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $3,549 +$591 +17%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $4,089 +$2,304 +56%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $2,643 +$86 +3%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) May 11 $408 −$408 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik May 11 $680 −$680 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo May 10 $829 −$829 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans May 09 $209 −$209 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse May 09 $1,527 +$2,121 +139%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? May 08 $107 −$107 -100%
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) May 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$10,577
other 29% +$2,231
world 0% +$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Unite BUY 11¢ $205 49m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 2¢ $4 1h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 2¢ $9 1h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 2¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 27¢ $85 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 65¢ $100 3h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND W BUY 18¢ $102 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 57¢ $76 5h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $51 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $95 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 37¢ $148 24h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) SELL Korea Republic 15¢ $91 24h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $359 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $105 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $152 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $101 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $154 2d
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 16¢ $103 2d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $12 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $40 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $3 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $2 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $3 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 42¢ $109 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $26 4d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 50¢ $14 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $205 4d
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Knicks 38¢ $158 4d
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) BUY Uzbekistan 66¢ $101 4d
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 59¢ $151 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +9.0% -1.4% 55% 55% +1.2%
≤30d 43 -10.2% -18.8% 51% 47% -20.7%
≤90d 215 -10.1% -18.6% 44% 42% -12.8%
all 215 -10.1% -18.6% 44% 42% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 42% -12.8%
10% -26.4% 39% -21.2%
15% -33.5% 37% -28.8%
20% -40.0% 32% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $556.07 · official $856.06 · 1133 history records