Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x42a8…76d3
crypto · 863 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$614 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$614 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$614
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses438 / 425
Open positions0
Markets (closed)863 / 863
History coverage54d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day46.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 863 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$40
14 days+$19
30 days+$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +198%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$33 +302%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$10 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $62 +$28 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $13 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$3 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$4 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$14 +632%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $12 +$9 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $9 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$731
other 3% −$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 48% -0.2%
≤30d 351 +9.5% -1.0% 54% 48% -5.4%
≤90d 863 +5.8% -4.3% 51% 46% -8.3%
all 863 +5.8% -4.3% 51% 46% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 46% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 40% -17.0%
15% -21.8% 34% -25.0%
20% -29.5% 29% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records