trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -32.3% | -38.7% | 43% | 43% | -7.3% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +24.4% | +12.6% | 35% | 35% | -52.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +24.4% | +12.6% | 35% | 35% | -52.4% |
| all | 23 | +24.4% | +12.6% | 35% | 35% | -52.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.6% | 35% | -52.4% |
| 10% | +1.8% | 35% | -57.0% |
| 15% | -8.0% | 30% | -61.2% |
| 20% | -17.0% | 26% | -65.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 23¢ | $40 | $57 | +$17 (+43%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 54¢ | 81¢ | $30 | $45 | +$15 (+51%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 11¢ | $20 | $13 | −$7 (-33%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $32 | +$21 | +65% |
| Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | +$6 | +30% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$17 | +1668% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $40 | +$21 | +52% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -95% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $42 | −$40 | -95% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$21 | +102% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$8 | +36% |