trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -31.5% | -38.1% | 35% | 12% | -24.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -31.5% | -38.1% | 35% | 12% | -24.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -31.5% | -38.1% | 35% | 12% | -24.1% |
| all | 26 | -31.5% | -38.1% | 35% | 12% | -24.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -38.1% | 12% | -24.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -44.0% | 4% | -31.4% |
| 15% | -49.4% | 4% | -38.0% |
| 20% | -54.4% | 4% | -44.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 27? | No | 82¢ | 94¢ | $25 | $28 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27? | Yes | 31¢ | 36¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+18%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26? | Yes | 15¢ | 2¢ | $98 | $11 | −$86 (-88%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 26? | No | 87¢ | 93¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27? | No | 71¢ | 68¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27? | Jun 26 | $85 | −$8 | -9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $110 | +$20 | +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $83 | −$12 | -15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $184 | −$101 | -55% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $62 | −$11 | -18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $151 | −$63 | -42% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $109 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 26? | Jun 25 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $28 | +$25 | +90% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $30 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $67 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23? | Jun 24 | $13 | −$3 | -21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 25? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$5 | -34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $50 | −$15 | -30% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 23? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 23? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $54 | −$6 | -11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $14 | −$11 | -78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22? | Jun 22 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |