trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 67% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 21% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 16% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 25 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $205 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 17 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 18 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 15 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 12 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 28 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Mar 17 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 14 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $105 | $0 | +0% |