Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4340…c612
crypto · 252 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$235 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$235 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$235
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses172 / 80
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage187d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$8
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$195
world 6% −$42
sports 4% $0
other 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 41¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 36¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 95¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -4.9% -14.0% 84% 18% -14.4%
≤30d 122 -9.6% -18.2% 80% 17% -49.7%
≤90d 125 -7.2% -16.0% 81% 19% -36.4%
all 252 -6.7% -15.6% 68% 32% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 32% -24.2%
10% -23.7% 23% -31.4%
15% -31.0% 18% -38.1%
20% -37.8% 15% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 586 history records