Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4346…f897
crypto · 1764 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$486 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized−$92
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses924 / 624
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1548 / 1764
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 1548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$334
7 days−$316
14 days−$158
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 61¢ 44¢ $80 $57 −$23 (-29%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 92¢ 98¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+7%)
Game Handicap: TTG (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5) Dragon Ranger Gaming 86¢ 63¢ $30 $22 −$8 (-26%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 61¢ 56¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 67¢ 8¢ $30 $4 −$26 (-87%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 19¢ 2¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-92%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$246
sports 17% +$51
other 3% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 61¢ $81 7m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $30 29m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $30 39m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 61¢ $20 58m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $20 59m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $31 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL T1 100¢ $25 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $30 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 19¢ $10 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 67¢ $30 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 82¢ $10 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 81¢ $20 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) SELL T1 100¢ $7 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $40 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 76¢ $5 4h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 74¢ $30 4h
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $43 5h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 77¢ $20 6h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 27¢ $5 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 BUY Under 91¢ $20 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $20 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $20 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -35.3% -41.5% 30% 25% -24.5%
≤30d 1548 +12.4% +1.7% 60% 55% -10.6%
≤90d 1548 +12.4% +1.7% 60% 55% -10.6%
all 1548 +12.4% +1.7% 60% 55% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 55% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 52% -19.2%
15% -16.9% 48% -27.0%
20% -25.1% 39% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.36 · official $134.36 (match) · 3500 history records