trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $102 | $0 | −$102 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | South Africa | 61¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $23 | +$8 | +34% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 12 | $8 | +$7 | +83% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $19 | +$10 | +50% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 28 | $103 | −$102 | -98% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 56¢ | $19 | 1h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina | 100¢ | $31 | 1h |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | BUY Yes | 36¢ | $2 | 4h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 74¢ | $23 | 4h |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $2 | 25h |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY Over | 54¢ | $8 | 25h |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY South Africa | 61¢ | $15 | 37h |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 1¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY England | 66¢ | $19 | 2d |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY Yes | 42¢ | $103 | 15d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 50% | 50% | -2.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 43% | 43% | -60.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 43% | 43% | -60.5% |
| all | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 43% | 43% | -60.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.7% | 43% | -60.5% |
| 10% | -45.5% | 43% | -64.3% |
| 15% | -50.7% | 29% | -67.7% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 14% | -70.9% |