Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4369…4e97
crypto · 1413 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$273 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$273 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses871 / 542
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1413 / 1413
History coverage43d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day63.3
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1413 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$61
14 days+$126
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$22 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$9 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $67 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$6 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $17 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $13 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $48 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $23 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 -7.0% -15.8% 63% 27% -7.4%
≤30d 968 -6.9% -15.8% 63% 28% -7.8%
≤90d 1413 -7.9% -16.7% 62% 28% -8.2%
all 1413 -7.9% -16.7% 62% 28% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 28% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 13% -17.0%
15% -32.0% 6% -25.0%
20% -38.6% 3% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records