Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x4385…5f62
crypto · 336 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses189 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage50d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$10
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -7.4% -16.2% 61% 54% -8.2%
≤30d 117 -7.8% -16.6% 59% 55% -8.3%
≤90d 336 -10.3% -18.9% 56% 52% -11.3%
all 336 -10.3% -18.9% 56% 52% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 52% -11.3%
10% -26.6% 39% -19.8%
15% -33.7% 25% -27.6%
20% -40.2% 18% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 929 history records