trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +13.9% | +3.0% | 71% | 29% | -3.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +13.1% | +2.3% | 78% | 33% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 61% | 35% | -5.6% |
| all | 23 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 61% | 35% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 35% | -5.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 17% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 4% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 4% | -30.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 67¢ | $411 | $369 | −$42 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 20 | $1,127 | −$101 | -9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $287 | +$259 | +90% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 18 | $282 | +$5 | +2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $254 | +$28 | +11% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $234 | −$10 | -4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Jun 14 | $199 | +$3 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $816 | +$48 | +6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | Jun 01 | $254 | +$45 | +18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $504 | +$16 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $164 | +$46 | +28% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 02 | $125 | +$20 | +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $83 | −$28 | -34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 28 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Apr 26 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 25 | $67 | −$23 | -35% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 25 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Apr 24 | $100 | −$34 | -34% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 23 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 23 | $102 | −$21 | -21% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Apr 10 | $94 | +$8 | +8% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 02 | $50 | +$13 | +26% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 01 | $7 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |