Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43ac…ef04
crypto · 465 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$438 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$438 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$438
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses121 / 344
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)465 / 465
History coverage186d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 465 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$886
14 days−$308
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +140%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $20 +$27 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$20 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$22 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $20 +$20 +97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $190 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +132%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$387
sports 7% +$109
other 6% −$58
world 1% −$70
politics 1% −$21
economics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 -37.1% -43.1% 21% 21% -36.7%
≤30d 392 -20.1% -27.7% 27% 27% -18.8%
≤90d 399 -21.5% -29.0% 27% 26% -19.0%
all 465 -22.2% -29.6% 26% 26% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 26% -21.3%
10% -36.3% 25% -28.8%
15% -42.5% 24% -35.7%
20% -48.1% 23% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 915 history records