Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43c2…0ae3
crypto · 1247 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,116 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,113 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$1,113
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses808 / 438
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1246 / 1247
History coverage13d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day226.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$599
7 days−$419
14 days−$1,113
30 days−$1,113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 42¢ 36¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $122 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $70 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $110 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $31 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $11 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $23 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 812 -11.3% -19.8% 61% 36% -11.7%
≤30d 1246 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 35% -13.0%
≤90d 1246 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 35% -13.0%
all 1246 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 35% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover226.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 35% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 20% -21.4%
15% -32.0% 13% -29.0%
20% -38.7% 7% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.95 · official $23.63 · 3500 history records