trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 64% | 0% | -89.3% |
| all | 17 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 65% | 0% | -81.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.0% | 0% | -81.5% |
| 10% | -46.7% | 0% | -83.3% |
| 15% | -51.8% | 0% | -84.9% |
| 20% | -56.6% | 0% | -86.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $133 | −$131 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $170 | −$168 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $91 | −$89 | -98% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | May 20 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Apr 21 | $185 | −$183 | -99% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 14 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $272 in January? | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will With Heaven on Top by Zach Bryan be the Billboard 200 #1 album fo | Jan 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 mil | Jan 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 9? | Jan 13 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 06 | $27 | $0 | +0% |