trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 53% | 53% | +3.4% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 44% | 37% | -3.7% |
| ≤90d | 213 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 48% | 42% | -7.1% |
| all | 213 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 48% | 42% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.3% | 42% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 34% | -16.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -26.7% | 27% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 20% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 15¢ | $1,008 | $1,029 | +$21 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $1,021 | $1,002 | −$19 (-2%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $308 | $313 | +$5 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $761 | −$116 | -15% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $1,078 | −$625 | -58% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $773 | +$226 | +29% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $2,160 | −$1,388 | -64% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $5,464 | +$1,585 | +29% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $2,060 | +$1,940 | +94% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $490 | −$297 | -61% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $4,973 | +$1,059 | +21% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $400 | −$303 | -76% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $2,292 | +$429 | +19% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $3,258 | +$1,488 | +46% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1,380 | −$960 | -70% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1,210 | −$801 | -66% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $933 | +$971 | +104% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $560 | +$774 | +138% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $1,440 | −$351 | -24% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $800 | −$241 | -30% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,536 | +$479 | +19% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $400 | −$100 | -25% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,009 | −$120 | -12% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2,563 | +$183 | +7% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $910 | −$567 | -62% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1,280 | −$421 | -33% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $520 | +$3 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $853 | −$135 | -16% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $5,851 | −$869 | -15% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $2,450 | +$1,259 | +51% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $1,410 | −$854 | -61% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $1,020 | +$978 | +96% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $1,199 | −$975 | -81% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $660 | +$130 | +20% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $3,092 | −$896 | -29% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $370 | −$269 | -73% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $2,011 | −$366 | -18% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $2,967 | −$887 | -30% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury | May 20 | $152 | +$27 | +17% |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Fire | May 19 | $520 | −$384 | -74% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $1,721 | +$195 | +11% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $900 | −$839 | -93% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury | May 16 | $332 | −$177 | -54% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks | May 16 | $411 | −$268 | -65% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $1,000 | −$699 | -70% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $840 | −$684 | -82% |
| New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire | May 15 | $963 | −$963 | -100% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings | May 15 | $987 | +$382 | +39% |
| Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks | May 14 | $532 | −$443 | -83% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $580 | +$20 | +3% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury | May 13 | $477 | −$246 | -52% |
| New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire | May 13 | $494 | +$266 | +54% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings | May 13 | $500 | +$269 | +54% |