Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43fd…021f
sports · 313 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,112 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,183 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$231
Realized−$2,183
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses165 / 144
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions4
Markets (closed)309 / 313
History coverage589d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 4 History 309 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$283
7 days+$241
14 days−$3
30 days−$1,149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 49¢ 48¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 68¢ 69¢ $77 $78 +$2 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 39¢ 38¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier KT Rolster Challengers 92¢ 94¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+3%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 74¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 58¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarova Rebeka Masarova 16¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? No 35¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Bubliki vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season ZeroZone Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 83¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Fluxo W7M 37¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Ignite 72¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs T1 43¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? No 12¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Natus Vincere 26¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs INFURITY Gaming 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Uwinks vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Uwinks 37¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 68¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Maria Sakkari 14¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage ASTRAL 29¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Nongshim Red Force 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 23¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will England win on 2026-06-10? No 15¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $90 −$88 -98%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $180 −$177 -98%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 12 $28 −$27 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $32 −$31 -98%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $19 +$98 +510%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $59 −$58 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $19 +$5 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $211 +$137 +65%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 11 $8 −$7 -97%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $90 −$88 -98%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 09 $288 +$12 +4%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $284 +$129 +46%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $195 +$24 +12%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $81 −$18 -22%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 09 $76 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 09 $62 +$164 +266%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $122 +$255 +210%
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? Jun 08 $310 +$44 +14%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $59 −$58 -98%
Will Argentina vs. Honduras end in a draw? Jun 07 $171 +$18 +11%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda end in a draw? Jun 06 $88 +$4 +4%
Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw? Jun 06 $148 +$21 +14%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $77 −$76 -99%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $19 +$97 +499%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 06 $62 +$143 +233%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 06 $95 −$93 -98%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 06 $497 +$48 +10%
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? Jun 05 $171 +$31 +18%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $75 −$74 -98%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $470 −$469 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 03 $26 +$10 +40%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 03 $71 −$69 -98%
Will Guam win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $371 +$13 +4%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex Jun 03 $17 +$15 +91%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 02 $192 +$172 +90%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advan Jun 01 $51 −$51 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $59 −$58 -97%
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? May 31 $198 +$21 +11%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $61 +$51 +82%
Will Newcastle Red Bulls win? May 30 $295 −$294 -100%
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs May 29 $118 −$115 -98%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $28 −$27 -98%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29? May 28 $37 −$37 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $201 −$199 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St May 27 $113 −$111 -98%
LoL: Uwinks vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season May 27 $80 −$78 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $31 +$11 +34%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In May 25 $71 +$197 +276%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League May 25 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 22 $325 −$323 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$1,297
other 8% −$800
politics 1% +$25
crypto 0% −$76
world 0% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 35m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 35m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 37m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 37m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 38m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $6 38m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 39¢ $5 38m
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $20 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $77 11h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 92¢ $14 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $90 26h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $71 26h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $109 26h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY Ignite 72¢ $28 37h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 23¢ $32 38h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $14 46h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $45 46h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY F5 Esports 6¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY F5 Esports 6¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY MARKandLARRY 16¢ $19 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $171 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $20 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 15¢ $57 3d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 15¢ $33 3d
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $19 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +12.0% +1.4% 47% 42% +0.4%
≤30d 56 -4.6% -13.7% 46% 39% -24.0%
≤90d 100 -11.4% -19.8% 40% 36% -23.8%
all 309 -8.9% -17.6% 53% 34% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 34% -18.2%
10% -25.5% 27% -26.1%
15% -32.7% 22% -33.2%
20% -39.3% 18% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $230.53 · official $230.54 (match) · 908 history records