Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4414…28d4
crypto · 594 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$79 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses497 / 97
Open positions0
Markets (closed)594 / 594
History coverage6d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day220.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$79
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $122 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$10 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $123 +$19 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $107 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$9 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 594 -0.0% -9.5% 84% 37% -10.3%
≤30d 594 -0.0% -9.5% 84% 37% -10.3%
≤90d 594 -0.0% -9.5% 84% 37% -10.3%
all 594 -0.0% -9.5% 84% 37% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover220.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 37% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 14% -18.8%
15% -26.1% 5% -26.7%
20% -33.3% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1898 history records