Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4419…d9c6
crypto · 917 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$252 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses557 / 359
Open positions1
Markets (closed)916 / 917
History coverage31d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day52.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 916 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$131
14 days−$131
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -60%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -86%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -83%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$209
other 24% −$45
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $0 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $0 20m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 20m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 32m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $0 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 796 -7.6% -16.4% 64% 56% -14.2%
≤30d 901 -11.0% -19.5% 61% 53% -17.7%
≤90d 916 -11.1% -19.6% 61% 53% -17.7%
all 916 -11.1% -19.6% 61% 53% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 53% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 39% -25.6%
15% -34.3% 22% -32.8%
20% -40.7% 9% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.42 · official $0.00 · 2153 history records