trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 7 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 43% | 0% | -12.4% |
| all | 7 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 43% | 0% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.8% | 0% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -35.6% | 0% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -41.8% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -47.5% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1? | May 01 | $200 | −$78 | -39% |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 15 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world | Apr 15 | $109 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 15 | $2 | −$1 | -51% |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 15 | $199 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 15 | $813 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 13 | $987 | +$12 | +1% |