trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -36.0% | -42.1% | 35% | 24% | -18.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -36.0% | -42.1% | 35% | 24% | -18.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -36.0% | -42.1% | 35% | 24% | -18.7% |
| all | 17 | -36.0% | -42.1% | 35% | 24% | -18.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -42.1% | 24% | -18.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -47.6% | 18% | -26.5% |
| 15% | -52.7% | 18% | -33.6% |
| 20% | -57.3% | 12% | -40.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $43 | +$3 (+7%) |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $41 | +$21 (+106%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | $15 | $17 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $8 | $15 | +$7 (+92%) |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Over | 59¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $8 | +$3 (+69%) |
| Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 43¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 | Jun 28 | $121 | −$17 | -14% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina? | Jun 28 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 28 | $20 | −$14 | -70% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 28 | $8 | −$4 | -48% |
| Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria? | Jun 28 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina? | Jun 28 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | Jun 28 | $116 | +$9 | +8% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $80 | +$14 | +18% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 27 | $16 | +$7 | +46% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 27 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 27 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |