trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 19 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 68% | 0% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 0% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $47 | $47 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 17 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 18 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 18 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian E | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Run | Mar 31 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24? | Mar 25 | $16 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21? | Mar 23 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08? | Mar 11 | $15 | $0 | +3% |