trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -22.1% | -29.5% | 50% | 50% | -35.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 56% | 56% | +18.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 50% | 50% | -7.2% |
| all | 17 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 41% | 41% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 41% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 41% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 41% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 35% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 51¢ | 74¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+46%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | $4 | $5 | +$2 (+44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$9 | +57% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$3 | -60% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $8 | +$12 | +152% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$4 | +111% |
| Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 12 | $5 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 17 | $17 | −$15 | -91% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 12 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Dec 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 14 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $8 | −$3 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Dec 14 | $4 | +$4 | +96% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14? | Dec 14 | $1 | +$2 | +141% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Dec 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |