trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -47.8% | -52.8% | 20% | 20% | -48.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -52.0% | -56.6% | 18% | 18% | -42.9% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -32.5% | -38.9% | 33% | 28% | -12.8% |
| all | 18 | -32.5% | -38.9% | 33% | 28% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.9% | 28% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -44.8% | 22% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -50.1% | 22% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -55.0% | 22% | -35.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $20 | $24 | +$4 (+18%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $16 | $18 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $17 | +$10 | +62% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Jun 01 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | Jun 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Jun 01 | $97 | −$17 | -18% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $20 | −$7 | -37% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 21 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $13 | +$9 | +65% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | May 11 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? | Apr 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 FC Barcelona? | Apr 14 | $3 | −$1 | -40% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 08 | $67 | +$57 | +86% |