Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4480…734d
crypto · 9 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
+$14,938 +184%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,938 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,938
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$904
Trades / day771.0
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$14,938
14 days+$14,938
30 days+$14,938
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1,015 $0 −$1,015 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1,015 −$1,015 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $880 +$2,694 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $1,899 −$99 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $2,229 +$8,104 +364%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1,733 +$4,933 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $102 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $259 +$312 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,938
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $29 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $58 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $58 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $29 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $34 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $46 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +88.4% +70.5% 56% 56% +156.6%
≤30d 9 +88.4% +70.5% 56% 56% +156.6%
≤90d 9 +88.4% +70.5% 56% 56% +156.6%
all 9 +88.4% +70.5% 56% 56% +156.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover771.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +70.5% 56% +156.6%
10% +54.2% 56% +132.1%
15% ← realistic here +39.3% 44% +109.7%
20% +25.6% 44% +89.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 778 history records