trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $107 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 31 | $215 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 17 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 10 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 11 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 04 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | Mar 17 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 15 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 12 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 10 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 07 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 04 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Feb 26 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Feb 24 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 16 | $110 | $0 | -0% |