Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x44ab…bef3
crypto · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26,564 +103%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26,598 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized+$26,598
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses330 / 206
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)536 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$535
Trades / day3388.0
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 536 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26,598
7 days+$26,598
14 days+$26,598
30 days+$26,598
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 40¢ $41 $55 +$14 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 43¢ 44¢ $35 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 89¢ 60¢ $37 $25 −$12 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 53¢ 56¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+177%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$72 -9645%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$95 +4383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$114 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$16 -5464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$179 +248148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$104 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$203 +1920%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$144 +1275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$77 +7341%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$66 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$178 +744%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$115 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$115 -394%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$199 +1156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$67 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$100 -193%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$59 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$57 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$57 -194%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$66 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$130 +5435%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$153 +620%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$207 +9244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$193 +5672%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $129 −$171 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$305 +1441%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$185 -231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$101 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$48 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$291 +3340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$543 +2129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$32 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$108 -400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$54 +273%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$19 -153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$202 +1952%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$245 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$97 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$277 +3582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$30 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$367 +1270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$65 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$10 -755%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $244 −$322 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$54 +884%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$12 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$18 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$692
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $37 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $35 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+444.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 +501.8% +444.5% 62% 58% +38.5%
≤30d 536 +501.8% +444.5% 62% 58% +38.5%
≤90d 536 +501.8% +444.5% 62% 58% +38.5%
all 536 +501.8% +444.5% 62% 58% +38.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3388.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +444.5% 58% +38.5%
10% ← realistic here +392.4% 57% +25.3%
15% +344.8% 55% +13.2%
20% +301.2% 55% +2.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $138.83 · official $157.37 · 3500 history records