Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x44e5…9d91
crypto · 1719 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1512 / 214
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1726 / 1719
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1726 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$35
14 days−$36
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1868%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -3127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1907%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 332 -3.0% -12.3% 86% 41% -13.4%
≤30d 713 -1.7% -11.0% 87% 50% -11.1%
≤90d 1064 -0.6% -10.1% 87% 52% -10.0%
all 1726 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 35% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 35% -10.0%
10% -18.6% 1% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records