trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 62% | 8% | -10.8% |
| all | 24 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 62% | 33% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 33% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -11.9% | 33% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 33% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 33% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Apr 11 | $111 | −$111 | -100% |
| Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 04 | $107 | +$91 | +85% |
| Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 | Mar 26 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 4% and | Mar 23 | $841 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? | Mar 23 | $770 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of March? | Mar 23 | $759 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 23 | $864 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? | Mar 23 | $853 | −$1 | -0% |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026? | Mar 23 | $836 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Mar 23 | $835 | +$3 | +0% |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Mar 23 | $52 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Mar 23 | $788 | −$4 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6AM ET | Mar 01 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10AM ET | Mar 01 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Mar 01 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 26, 2AM ET | Feb 27 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 6AM ET | Feb 25 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET | Feb 25 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Feb 20 | $5 | +$5 | +96% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 17, 4PM ET | Feb 18 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 15, 12PM ET | Feb 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Feb 17 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 8AM ET | Feb 17 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |