Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:27:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
44 0x44fa…c61e crypto 61 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate97%59W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day72.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 7% -8.9%
≤30d 61 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 7% -8.9%
≤90d 61 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 7% -8.9%
all 61 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 7% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 7% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 2% -17.6%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.42 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses59 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day72.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 61 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $43 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? SELL Down 100¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 96¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? SELL Down 94¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 87¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 193 history records