Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x450c…3863
crypto · 136 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$149 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses58 / 78
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)136 / 136
History coverage6d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day65.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$149
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Elias Ymer 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Blast, Women: Somerset vs Warwickshire Warwickshire 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Angela Fita Boluda 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Tomas Barrios 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Lancashire Thunder Lancashire Thunder 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Ignite 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Libema Open (Doubles): Kichenok/Ninomiya vs Piter/Siskova Kichenok/Ninomiya 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$51 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $107 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $114 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$20 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$14 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$21 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -58%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$15 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 $0 +0%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$62 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$18 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$14 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$14 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$27 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$35 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$3 +7%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$83
other 2% −$61
sports 2% −$4
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $69 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $77 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $61 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +5.1% -4.9% 43% 33% -14.7%
≤30d 136 +5.1% -4.9% 43% 33% -14.7%
≤90d 136 +5.1% -4.9% 43% 33% -14.7%
all 136 +5.1% -4.9% 43% 33% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 33% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 26% -22.8%
15% -22.3% 21% -30.3%
20% -29.9% 13% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 382 history records