Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4518…e409
crypto · 681 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$210 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$210 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$210
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses526 / 154
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)680 / 681
History coverage92d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 680 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$175
7 days−$199
14 days−$199
30 days−$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$199
world 7% −$8
other 2% −$2
politics 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 636 -3.0% -12.2% 81% 8% -12.8%
≤30d 636 -3.0% -12.2% 81% 8% -12.8%
≤90d 679 -3.3% -12.5% 77% 8% -12.6%
all 680 -3.2% -12.5% 77% 8% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 8% -12.6%
10% -20.8% 4% -21.0%
15% -28.5% 2% -28.6%
20% -35.5% 1% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2376 history records