Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:20:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4548…4931
crypto · 1004 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$336 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$336 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$336
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses478 / 542
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1020 / 1004
History coverage23d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day143.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$213
7 days−$170
14 days−$204
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+62%)
Spread: Knicks (-20.5) Knicks 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$142
sports 4% +$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 350 -16.1% -24.1% 37% 34% -22.7%
≤30d 1020 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 43% -15.7%
≤90d 1020 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 43% -15.7%
all 1020 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 43% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 43% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 38% -23.8%
15% -32.9% 34% -31.1%
20% -39.5% 30% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.37 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records