Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:14:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4571…a952
crypto · 1420 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,917 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,818 · open −$99
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$244
Realized−$7,818
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses941 / 477
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$310
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1418 / 1420
History coverage16d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day197.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1418 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$746
14 days−$7,900
30 days−$7,818
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 51¢ 33¢ $249 $161 −$88 (-35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 78¢ 68¢ $95 $83 −$12 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$47 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$37 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $532 −$168 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $303 −$271 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$165 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$31 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$39 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$44 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$42 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $509 +$68 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$32 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $368 +$182 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $497 −$136 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$59 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $356 +$107 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$43 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $452 +$36 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $237 +$51 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $302 +$23 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $253 +$55 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$106 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$67 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $249 +$61 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$9 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $163 +$42 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$16 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $94 −$58 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $81 +$27 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $49 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $79 −$29 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$7,630
sports 11% −$302
other 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $96 1m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 36¢ $102 2m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 71¢ $150 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $153 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $300 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $253 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $71 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $242 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $224 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $50 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 51¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $225 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $202 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 40¢ $126 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $219 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $233 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $242 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 -3.1% -12.3% 67% 49% -12.6%
≤30d 1418 -3.7% -12.8% 66% 52% -13.0%
≤90d 1418 -3.7% -12.8% 66% 52% -13.0%
all 1418 -3.7% -12.8% 66% 52% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover197.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 52% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 29% -21.4%
15% -28.8% 16% -29.0%
20% -35.8% 11% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $244.14 · official $244.14 (match) · 3500 history records