Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:52:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x45cb…b68c
crypto · 156 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses98 / 57
Open positions1
Markets (closed)155 / 156
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$7
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 47¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -9.5% -18.1% 65% 47% -10.3%
≤30d 155 -11.4% -19.8% 63% 46% -11.2%
≤90d 155 -11.4% -19.8% 63% 46% -11.2%
all 155 -11.4% -19.8% 63% 46% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 46% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 26% -19.7%
15% -34.5% 15% -27.5%
20% -40.9% 10% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.64 · official $2.11 (match) · 350 history records