Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:44:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x45f3…2788
crypto · 1490 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$192 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$192 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$192
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses789 / 700
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1489 / 1490
History coverage130d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1489 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$13
14 days−$18
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +175%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$2 +153%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$141
sports 13% −$50
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -4.6% -13.7% 53% 48% -16.8%
≤30d 754 -4.9% -13.9% 55% 49% -13.3%
≤90d 1365 -8.7% -17.4% 51% 46% -19.7%
all 1489 -6.1% -15.0% 53% 47% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 47% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 43% -21.2%
15% -30.6% 36% -28.8%
20% -37.4% 26% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.99 · official $0.19 · 3500 history records