Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:43:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x4604…fff0
crypto · 905 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,277 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,277 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,277
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses632 / 530
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1162 / 905
History coverage94d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$528
7 days+$586
14 days+$447
30 days+$447
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +54410%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +22419%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$35 +388744%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$16 +2043%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$192 +463806%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$37 +100206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$38 +42003%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$86 +21504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -7468%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$24 +1140238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$43 +309994%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $58 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $42 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+79.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 +139.3% +116.5% 49% 19% -22.3%
≤30d 657 +100.1% +81.1% 61% 22% -19.9%
≤90d 981 +92.0% +73.7% 55% 28% -25.7%
all 1162 +98.0% +79.1% 54% 31% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +79.1% 31% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here +62.0% 24% -29.4%
15% +46.3% 21% -36.2%
20% +32.0% 20% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records