trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elect | Jun 18 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $1,318 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $1,247 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 22 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? | May 22 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 22 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | May 19 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 19 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $833 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $817 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $2,367 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16? | May 17 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 16 | $818 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 14 | $831 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $844 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 06 | $186 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Apr 06 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 06 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 02 | $135 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi | Apr 02 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 02 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Mar 30 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 30 | $40 | $0 | -0% |