Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x4633…f429
crypto · 1271 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,288 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses689 / 582
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1271 / 1271
History coverage86d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$113
14 days−$116
30 days−$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$5 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$7 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$849
world 13% −$33
other 7% −$212
politics 5% −$114
finance 3% −$83
sports 1% +$6
tech 1% $0
weather 0% −$1
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 +16.2% +5.2% 48% 45% -15.3%
≤30d 400 +7.4% -2.8% 54% 44% -10.0%
≤90d 1271 +0.3% -9.2% 54% 50% -16.9%
all 1271 +0.3% -9.2% 54% 50% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 50% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 47% -24.9%
15% -25.9% 42% -32.1%
20% -33.1% 37% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2893 history records