trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 22% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 22% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 29% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 26 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 42% | 4% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 4% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 24 | $127 | −$4 | -3% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 25 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 24 | $33 | −$2 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $30 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 22 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 19 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kentucky win the SEC Tournament? | Mar 15 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14? | Mar 13 | $16 | $0 | -3% |
| Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14? | Mar 13 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $13 | +$3 | +21% |
| Kraken vs. Predators | Mar 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |