Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:21:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x466f…00fb
crypto · 38 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses17 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$4
sports 2% $0
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 52¢ $1 8m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -14.0% -22.1% 47% 31% -19.3%
≤30d 36 -14.0% -22.1% 47% 31% -19.3%
≤90d 36 -14.0% -22.1% 47% 31% -19.3%
all 36 -14.0% -22.1% 47% 31% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 31% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 25% -27.1%
15% -36.4% 17% -34.1%
20% -42.6% 14% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $1.99 · 74 history records