trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $452 | +$477 | +106% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | Jun 12 | $66 | −$150 | -226% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Jun 12 | $77 | −$6 | -8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 10 | $80 | +$153 | +192% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 10 | $155 | +$222 | +144% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 10 | $92 | +$147 | +160% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,159 | +$928 | +80% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Jun 10 | $321 | +$5 | +2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +71.8% | +55.5% | 75% | 62% | +60.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +71.8% | +55.5% | 75% | 62% | +60.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +71.8% | +55.5% | 75% | 62% | +60.5% |
| all | 8 | +71.8% | +55.5% | 75% | 62% | +60.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +55.5% | 62% | +60.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +40.6% | 62% | +45.1% |
| 15% | +27.0% | 62% | +31.1% |
| 20% | +14.5% | 62% | +18.3% |