Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:53:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46a3…ead2
crypto · 203 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
+$4,790 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,957 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,957
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses99 / 104
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)203 / 203
History coverage41d
Avg bet$681
Trades / day79.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,889
7 days+$6,507
14 days+$5,370
30 days+$5,380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3,225 $0 −$3,225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5,867 $0 −$5,867 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $9,832 +$5,790 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6,706 +$2,310 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5,205 +$3,962 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $8,096 −$8,096 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $8,307 −$8,307 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8,608 +$3,818 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4,655 +$2,130 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5,929 −$5,929 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $16,487 +$4,516 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $7,367 +$8,818 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,009 +$139 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $12,611 +$3,875 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4,118 +$1,013 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7,119 −$7,119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8,524 +$2,030 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $208 +$163 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $314 +$97 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3,835 +$1,869 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1,245 +$616 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $610 +$390 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$326 +279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $675 +$1,625 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5,870 −$5,867 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $333 −$333 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$53 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $217 −$206 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$462 +369%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3,328 −$3,225 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1,712 +$1,655 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$9 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $87 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $50 −$3 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,957
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1,043 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1,047 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $90 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $81 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $139 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1,716 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $213 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $34 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1,770 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $85 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $34 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $208 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $79 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $47 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $61 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $160 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +7.6% -2.7% 48% 41% -5.1%
≤30d 188 -10.3% -18.8% 45% 29% -6.0%
≤90d 203 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 34% -5.6%
all 203 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 34% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 34% -5.6%
10% -20.8% 27% -14.7%
15% ← realistic here -28.4% 21% -22.9%
20% -35.5% 16% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records