Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:42:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46a8…e36e
crypto · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$148 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$143 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$143
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses102 / 82
Open positions1
Markets (closed)184 / 185
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day649.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$143
14 days−$143
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 51¢ 14¢ $8 $2 −$5 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$14 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$23 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$18 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$17 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$24 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$24 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$11 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$29 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$12 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $11 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $3 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -12.1% -20.4% 55% 43% -13.8%
≤30d 184 -12.1% -20.4% 55% 43% -13.8%
≤90d 184 -12.1% -20.4% 55% 43% -13.8%
all 184 -12.1% -20.4% 55% 43% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover649.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 43% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 24% -22.1%
15% -35.0% 12% -29.6%
20% -41.4% 5% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.17 · official $6.08 · 716 history records