Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46cd…6b95
sports · 109 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$919 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$919 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$919
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses46 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$469
Open positions0
Markets (closed)109 / 109
History coverage22d
Avg bet$385
Trades / day48.3
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$771
14 days+$1,453
30 days+$919
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $701 −$23 -3%
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-31? Jun 13 $119 −$63 -53%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $716 −$303 -42%
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 13 $38 −$27 -71%
Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $37 −$32 -88%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $38 −$34 -90%
Will CD Los Chankas vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw? Jun 13 $72 −$71 -98%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 13 $194 +$74 +38%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $130 $0 -0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1,698 +$311 +18%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $920 −$37 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $17 −$4 -21%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $222 +$7 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $222 +$7 +3%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $213 −$12 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $722 +$297 +41%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $176 +$55 +31%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,000 −$16 -2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,879 +$8 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $667 +$9 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $951 −$14 -2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $478 −$16 -3%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $190 −$1 -0%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $99 −$18 -18%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $300 +$5 +2%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $27 −$20 -73%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $515 +$5 +1%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $740 −$17 -2%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $745 +$173 +23%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $77 +$36 +47%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $16 −$1 -7%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $134 −$8 -6%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $929 +$580 +62%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $401 −$1 -0%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $100 −$7 -6%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $945 +$64 +7%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3,839 −$81 -2%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $15 −$3 -19%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $5,688 +$27 +0%
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 $0 -5%
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $874 −$52 -6%
CD Los Chankas vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $9 +$8 +95%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $3 +$1 +18%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $45 +$2 +4%
São Bernardo FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$392
other 41% −$53
crypto 2% +$580
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 56¢ $151 28m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 58¢ $159 29m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 31¢ $9 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 68¢ $125 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 68¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 67¢ $10 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 66¢ $158 50m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 66¢ $16 50m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 66¢ $20 50m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 52¢ $109 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $114 59m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 51¢ $107 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $19 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $12 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $57 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 51¢ $105 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 52¢ $110 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $78 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -16.5% -24.4% 36% 18% -6.8%
≤30d 109 -1.2% -10.6% 42% 20% -7.5%
≤90d 109 -1.2% -10.6% 42% 20% -7.5%
all 109 -1.2% -10.6% 42% 20% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 20% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 17% -16.4%
15% -27.0% 13% -24.5%
20% -34.1% 9% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1116 history records