Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46dc…4654
crypto · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,576 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,576 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,576
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses59 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)13%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)192 / 172
History coverage73d
Avg bet$149
Trades / day46.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,039
7 days−$1,039
14 days−$1,203
30 days−$1,622
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
US strikes Yemen by December 31? No 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026? No 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $509 $0 −$509 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 100¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$122 -200%
US strikes Yemen by December 31? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on Jan Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$191 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$139 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$121 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$435 -207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $519 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$39 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,394 −$33 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $827 +$66 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $132 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 05 $1,080 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 05 $230 −$43 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 04 $901 −$35 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $158 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $61 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $1,029 −$54 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $140 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 03 $84 −$21 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $99 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $12 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,512
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $50 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $48 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $31 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $33 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -51.7% -56.3% 19% 11% -21.1%
≤30d 103 -29.7% -36.4% 24% 13% -16.6%
≤90d 192 -18.4% -26.2% 31% 23% -16.9%
all 192 -18.4% -26.2% 31% 23% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 23% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 19% -24.9%
15% -39.7% 15% -32.1%
20% -45.6% 13% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records