Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46e3…3ab6
crypto · 60 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$46 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses39 / 19
Open positions2
Markets (closed)58 / 60
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day80.1
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$20
other 7% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 53% -3.3%
≤30d 58 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 53% -3.3%
≤90d 58 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 53% -3.3%
all 58 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 53% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 53% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 38% -12.6%
15% -26.8% 26% -21.0%
20% -34.0% 19% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.07 · official $10.07 (match) · 149 history records