Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:24:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46f1…b1ee
other · 272 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,452 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,884 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$3,884
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses87 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$105
Open positions3
Markets (closed)269 / 272
History coverage57d
Avg bet$107
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 3 History 269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$76
14 days−$234
30 days−$8,259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 14 $20 −$1 -7%
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 14 $20 −$2 -8%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $56 −$55 -98%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Iceland? Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $303 +$161 +53%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $50 +$22 +44%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 10 $263 +$134 +51%
China PR leading at halftime? Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $173 −$173 -100%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 09 $61 +$33 +55%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $51 +$104 +203%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Jun 07 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 07 $47 −$47 -100%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 07 $184 −$184 -100%
England leading at halftime? Jun 06 $151 +$71 +47%
Belgium leading at halftime? Jun 06 $203 +$154 +76%
Will Sagan Tosu vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Júbilo Iwata vs. FC Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$11 +206%
Will Vegalta Sendai vs. Kataller Toyama end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$11 +216%
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$12 +226%
Will FC Gifu vs. Gainare Tottori end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$13 +246%
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Ventforet Kōfu end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Fujieda MYFC vs. Ehime FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will SC Sagamihara vs. Roasso Kumamoto end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Kōchi United SC end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Yokohama FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Nara Club end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 1 China PR? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $61 +$24 +40%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR? Jun 05 $10 +$66 +646%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $51 +$35 +70%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Serbia? Jun 05 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $483 +$140 +29%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 05 $101 +$72 +71%
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? Jun 04 $15 +$36 +237%
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 04 $194 +$65 +34%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 04 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $302 −$302 -100%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 04 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $21 $0 +2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $51 +$33 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% −$91
sports 23% −$3,560
crypto 1% −$307
world 1% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $20 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $19 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? SELL Yes 28¢ $19 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $20 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 9h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 10h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $464 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $303 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $50 2d
Argentina leading at halftime? BUY Yes 66¢ $263 5d
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Iceland? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 39¢ $51 5d
China PR leading at halftime? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 5d
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $20 5d
China PR leading at halftime? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 5d
Spain leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $61 6d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 99¢ $155 6d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $31 6d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $20 7d
England leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 7d
England leading at halftime? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 7d
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $6 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -16.1% -24.1% 38% 38% -3.5%
≤30d 207 -41.3% -46.9% 26% 26% -46.7%
≤90d 269 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 32% -21.6%
all 269 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 32% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.5% 32% -21.6%
10% -37.1% 31% -29.1%
15% -43.2% 28% -36.0%
20% -48.8% 24% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.18 · official $59.18 (match) · 665 history records