Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46fb…5153
crypto · 1130 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$132 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,917 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,917
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses323 / 807
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1130 / 1130
History coverage102d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$352
7 days−$472
14 days−$509
30 days−$1,539
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$25 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $132 −$60 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$25 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$24 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$5 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $13 −$1 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$26 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$11 +358%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$19 +897%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $24 −$10 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $17 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$7 +132%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $36 −$10 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 01 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +116%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$4 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$1,794
other 4% −$276
sports 1% +$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $58 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -41.8% -47.3% 18% 18% -82.0%
≤30d 443 -43.5% -48.9% 18% 17% -44.5%
≤90d 452 -44.6% -49.9% 18% 17% -45.6%
all 1130 -22.7% -30.1% 29% 27% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.1% 27% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.8% 26% -29.7%
15% -42.9% 25% -36.5%
20% -48.5% 23% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records